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Ready for a top

Posted by Dan on September 10, 2012

We got the expected breakout to the upside in most markets.
With another week of lunar Green Period to go, it is quite likely that some medium term top is going to be made within the next 10 days.

Here is the current chart for S&P 500 (click for larger image):

S&P 500

Our target of 1450 is now within easy reach. The question is whether we will get above it.
Profit taking is likely to appear near 1450, so if the market stagnates near that level, then I would expect a correction to start, with the S&P dropping back below 1400 in October.
Be ready for a top.

***

As our chart of the week we take a look at the German DAX index (click for larger image):

DAX

This is a long term weekly chart.
We see this market going up and down in a very large triangle pattern since 2007.
The DAX is now closing in on the upper boundary of the triangle near 7400, so that is becoming an important resistance level to watch.
My Earl indicator seems to be topping out already, and is showing a bearish divergence with prices.
This suggests that the DAX is also close to forming a medium term top, just like the S&P 500 index.

Stay tuned, Danny

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