Here is our key reversal table for next week:
Weekly |
Current |
Mode |
Key (W) |
MoM (W) |
Weeks |
% Ch. |
Nasdaq |
3,985.97 |
|
3,665.43 |
8.24 |
45 |
29.03 |
S&P 500 |
1,798.18 |
|
1,677.09 |
7.08 |
50 |
26.96 |
Nikkei |
15,165.91 |
|
13,504.08 |
2.06 |
51 |
60.21 |
FTSE 100 |
6,693.39 |
|
6,468.47 |
3.20 |
18 |
2.27 |
DAX |
9,168.69 |
|
8,570.97 |
7.92 |
18 |
11.30 |
Bonds (TLT) |
104.73 |
|
108.28 |
-0.36 |
26 |
-9.61 |
Gold (spot) |
1,289.66 |
|
1,390.89 |
-1.90 |
47 |
-22.16 |
$EURUSD |
1.3494 |
|
1.3293 |
3.16 |
16 |
1.60 |
Oil (CL) |
93.84 |
|
102.58 |
-4.35 |
3 |
-4.13 |
(Legend: Mode: green = bullish, red = bearish | Key: key reversal level | MoM indicator: green = rising, red = falling | Weeks: weeks since start of current bullish or bearish mode | % Ch: percent change since start of current mode | yellow box: changed direction)
(for more details about these key levels, see: https://lunatictrader.wordpress.com/key-reversal-levels/ )
(for information about the MoM indicator, see: https://lunatictrader.wordpress.com/2013/09/14/mom-indicator/ )
Important developments in the weekly key reversal levels:
* The bull market in stocks continues. But for the Nasdaq we see the weekly MoM turn downwards from a very high level. If MoM falls back below +8 it is usually a sign to get out or at least take partial profits.
* For bonds (TLT) the weekly MoM is turning down again as well. TLT has failed to climb above its weekly key level and the bear market in bonds goes on.
* Gold and oil continue to be bearish, while the $EURUSD has survived its first test of the weekly key level. For all of them the weekly MoM continues to go down, so the long term picture remains weak.
And here are the daily key reversal levels for next Monday:
Daily |
Current |
Mode |
Key (D) |
MoM (D) |
Days |
% Ch. |
Nasdaq |
3,985.97 |
|
3,878.88 |
3.07 |
25 |
5.80 |
S&P 500 |
1,798.18 |
|
1,744.00 |
5.30 |
26 |
6.33 |
Nikkei |
15,165.91 |
|
14,357.41 |
3.76 |
3 |
4.39 |
FTSE 100 |
6,693.39 |
|
6,626.43 |
-0.60 |
23 |
2.20 |
DAX |
9,168.69 |
|
8,900.22 |
5.50 |
26 |
5.33 |
Bonds (TLT) |
104.73 |
|
105.53 |
-8.05 |
8 |
-0.20 |
Gold (spot) |
1,289.66 |
|
1,314.42 |
-4.56 |
8 |
-1.68 |
$EURUSD |
1.3494 |
|
1.3551 |
-4.47 |
11 |
-0.65 |
Oil (CL) |
93.84 |
|
97.74 |
-5.00 |
43 |
-10.43 |
(Legend: Mode : green = bullish, red = bearish | Key: key reversal level | MoM indicator: green = rising, red = falling | Days: days since start of current bullish or bearish mode | % Ch: percent change since start of current mode | yellow box: changed direction)
(for more details about these key levels, see: https://lunatictrader.wordpress.com/key-reversal-levels/ )
(for information about the MoM indicator, see: https://lunatictrader.wordpress.com/2013/09/14/mom-indicator/ )
Important developments in the daily key reversal levels:
* Daily momentum (MoM) has turned up for all stock markets, except the FTSE 100. The rally continues and we start watching their top targets (see below).
* Bonds (TLT) have seen their daily MoM turn up from a very low level. That makes space for another rally if TLT can close above 105.53.
* Gold, $EURUSD and crude oil have now rising MoM as well, which means all are ready for short term rebound rallies after their recent declines. First target is the daily key reversal levels, and if they can close above that then we can start looking for a test of their weekly key reversal levels.
* After a significant move to the downside it is always daily MoM that gives the first positive sign by turning upwards. That’s the earliest point where you can buy if you like to get in near a bottom. I always use a rather tight stop-loss when I take that kind of trade, and I also get out if the MoM turns back down again. I plan to do a special post on strategies for trading the key reversal levels when time permits.
Lastly, our key target zones (we use a +/-1% zone around these targets):
Key Targets |
Top |
Top2 |
Bottom |
Bottom2 |
Nasdaq |
3975 |
4200 |
3530 |
3210 |
S&P 500 |
1799 |
1820 |
1576 |
1522 |
Nikkei |
15850 |
16580 |
12710 |
10450 |
FTSE 100 |
6800 |
7150 |
6205 |
6110 |
DAX |
9310 |
9480 |
7870 |
7210 |
Bonds (TLT) |
111.80 |
128.50 |
102 |
96.25 |
Gold (spot) |
1448 |
1540 |
1215 |
1078 |
EURUSD |
1.3950 |
1.42 |
1.2870 |
1.2350 |
Crude Oil(CL) |
109.40 |
121 |
94.30 |
89.50 |
(* = new target )
(for more details about these key targets, see: https://lunatictrader.wordpress.com/2013/08/20/key-target-levels/ )
Important developments last week:
* No new targets this week.
* The Nasdaq and the S&P 500 are testing their first top targets. The Nasdaq has been pushing into the 3975 level for a month now. A continued failure at that level would be a bad omen going forward.
* Bonds (TLT) seem to have survived their retest of the 102 bottom target.
* Oil continues to linger near its $94.30 bottom target.
PS: if you are looking for key reversal levels for other world markets or individual stocks, then check out my Twitter account.
Good luck,
Danny
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Key reversal levels for week of November 18, 2013
Posted by Dan on November 17, 2013
Here is our key reversal table for next week:
(Legend: Mode: green = bullish, red = bearish | Key: key reversal level | MoM indicator: green = rising, red = falling | Weeks: weeks since start of current bullish or bearish mode | % Ch: percent change since start of current mode | yellow box: changed direction)
(for more details about these key levels, see: https://lunatictrader.wordpress.com/key-reversal-levels/ )
(for information about the MoM indicator, see: https://lunatictrader.wordpress.com/2013/09/14/mom-indicator/ )
Important developments in the weekly key reversal levels:
* The bull market in stocks continues. But for the Nasdaq we see the weekly MoM turn downwards from a very high level. If MoM falls back below +8 it is usually a sign to get out or at least take partial profits.
* For bonds (TLT) the weekly MoM is turning down again as well. TLT has failed to climb above its weekly key level and the bear market in bonds goes on.
* Gold and oil continue to be bearish, while the $EURUSD has survived its first test of the weekly key level. For all of them the weekly MoM continues to go down, so the long term picture remains weak.
And here are the daily key reversal levels for next Monday:
(Legend: Mode : green = bullish, red = bearish | Key: key reversal level | MoM indicator: green = rising, red = falling | Days: days since start of current bullish or bearish mode | % Ch: percent change since start of current mode | yellow box: changed direction)
(for more details about these key levels, see: https://lunatictrader.wordpress.com/key-reversal-levels/ )
(for information about the MoM indicator, see: https://lunatictrader.wordpress.com/2013/09/14/mom-indicator/ )
Important developments in the daily key reversal levels:
* Daily momentum (MoM) has turned up for all stock markets, except the FTSE 100. The rally continues and we start watching their top targets (see below).
* Bonds (TLT) have seen their daily MoM turn up from a very low level. That makes space for another rally if TLT can close above 105.53.
* Gold, $EURUSD and crude oil have now rising MoM as well, which means all are ready for short term rebound rallies after their recent declines. First target is the daily key reversal levels, and if they can close above that then we can start looking for a test of their weekly key reversal levels.
* After a significant move to the downside it is always daily MoM that gives the first positive sign by turning upwards. That’s the earliest point where you can buy if you like to get in near a bottom. I always use a rather tight stop-loss when I take that kind of trade, and I also get out if the MoM turns back down again. I plan to do a special post on strategies for trading the key reversal levels when time permits.
Lastly, our key target zones (we use a +/-1% zone around these targets):
(* = new target )
(for more details about these key targets, see: https://lunatictrader.wordpress.com/2013/08/20/key-target-levels/ )
Important developments last week:
* No new targets this week.
* The Nasdaq and the S&P 500 are testing their first top targets. The Nasdaq has been pushing into the 3975 level for a month now. A continued failure at that level would be a bad omen going forward.
* Bonds (TLT) seem to have survived their retest of the 102 bottom target.
* Oil continues to linger near its $94.30 bottom target.
PS: if you are looking for key reversal levels for other world markets or individual stocks, then check out my Twitter account.
Good luck,
Danny
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This entry was posted on November 17, 2013 at 8:57 am and is filed under Market Commentary. Tagged: $EURUSD, FTSE 100 Index, key levels, Nasdaq, S&P 500, TLT. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.