LunaticTrader

Investing with the Moon

Pendulum market

Posted by Danny on August 18, 2014

Fears rise on Friday, next they ease on Monday…, a pattern we have been seeing for weeks. Like a pendulum swinging. Will it continue that way? It is quite possible. Just like last week, I remain mildly positive about the market as long as each relief rally goes a little higher than the previous one. That’s how walls of worry get climbed.
Let’s have a look at the S&P 500 (click for larger image):

S&P 500

The rebound has taken the S&P to double overhead resistance. Earl and MoM indicators turned up from major bottoms a week ago, and now the slower Earl2 is at the point of turning up as well. Technically, a further rally to 2000+ is easily possible, but of course not guaranteed.
A failure to climb above 1970 would not bode well for the market and a decline below 1910 would confirm a second move to the downside.

Good luck,
Danny

 

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