Investing with the Moon

  • Enter your email address to subscribe to this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email.

    Join 922 other subscribers
  • Archives

  • Categories

  • Tags

    $EURUSD 1920s Bitcoin bonds Brazil Brexit China crash Crude Oil DAX Dow 32000 Dow Jones Industrial Average Earl Eclipse Euro financial astrology FTSE 100 Index gold Greece Hong Kong iceberg key levels long term LT wave lunar cycle lunar cycles mania Market trend method MoM monthly Nasdaq Nikkei oil Oil Prices outlook QE Quantitative easing reversal levels S&P 500 SKEW solar cycle stock market stocks strategy Sunspot Technical analysis TLT VIX weekly

Waiting for the kiss

Posted by Dan on July 18, 2016

The S&P 500 has reached new record highs and has kept up surprisingly well all week. Will this market just keep climbing without looking back? Maybe.
The S&P 500 chart may offer us a few clues:

^SP500 (Daily)  10_15_2014 - 7_15_2016

There is no clear overhead resistance level at this point. But the Earl indicator (blue line) is turning down already and the MoM has reached very optimistic +8 level, which is quite rare. This suggests that we “should” get at least a bit of a pullback here.
When a market breaks out from a long sideways pattern it is classic to turn back and kiss the old support/resistance line before continuing in the direction of the breakout. In this case that would mean a drop back to ~2130. That’s my current base scenario, given that we remain in a lunar red period. But of course we cannot rule out that the market may climb even further before taking a vacation.
This market is bullish until proven otherwise, and I wouldn’t fight the trend. Let’s see if we get that kiss.

Post a comment (disagreement also welcome):

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in: Logo

You are commenting using your account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: