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LT wave for October

Posted by Dan on October 3, 2016

An up and down week for S&P 500 ended with little change for the week and the month. Major indexes are once again close to new all time highs.
The direction of the next significant swing is still very uncertain. Here is the current S&P 500 chart:

sp500-daily-1_20_2015-9_30_2016

A push to record highs looks quite likely, but a new lunar red period will start later this week. The Earl indicator (blue line) is flattening out, but the slower Earl2 (orange line) keeps pointing up. It is an indecisive picture. The LT wave for October isn’t very clear either:

ltwaveoct2016

The wave did quite well in September, with the market peaking early in the month and a clear period of weakness from the 6th until the 25th.
For October another period of weakness is projected to start around the 4th. After the 15th there is more strength but it could come with high volatility.

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