The next leg up

Stocks performed a major turnaround last week and are breaking out to the upside. Chances are good that markets will keep rallying into year’s end. Here is the current Nasdaq chart:

comp-daily-2_23_2015-11_11_2016

The October highs are likely to offer some resistance. But all my indicators have turned up from major lows. And there is further room to rise. We will also start a new lunar green period later this week. A climb towards 5400-5500 is a reasonable expectation. A revisit of the 5000 level would not look good. If that happens we will have to re-evaluate the picture.

The number of bullish stocks in the S&P 500 is also back above 300:

spx

This number had been signalling weakness since late August and was stuck in a downward trend. We would want to see this number get back above 400 (=80%) if this rally is for real. That’s also what we had in February and July. A drop back below 250 (=50%) bullish stocks would put question marks behind the bullish thesis. When there are important changes in this indication I usually post them on Twitter, as I recently did here: https://twitter.com/lunatictrader1/status/791993232792092673

By Dan

Author of LunaticTrader and Reversal Levels method. Stock market forecasts based on proprietary indicators, seasonal patterns and moon cycles.

Leave a comment

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: