The LT wave did a mediocre job in January. Expected weakness in the first trading days of the year panned out OK. But after that the wave gave us a difficult read. The market burst higher into the first expected peak on the 8th, but didn’t really stop there. There was some sideways crosscurrents type trading in the 3rd week, but the market ended right at its highs, producing the best January gains in over 30 years.
Here is how the LT wave continues into February:
A weak period ends around the 3rd, followed by strength until the 8th. Then a weak period until the 16th, and stronger again until the 24th. The waves are a bit clearer defined then they were in January, so we will see.
There is a noticeable peak value on the 6th and another one around the 19th. Lowest LT wave values on the 1st and the 13th.