In 2015 I posted an article, explaining why watching SKEW is more important than watching the VIX: Forget the VIX, watch the SKEW. In brief, SKEW index has a history of staying relatively high during bull markets and suddenly become low at the start of bear markets. This is what happened both at the 2000… Continue reading Very low SKEW
Updated long term scenarios and charts.
Time constraints have kept me from blogging frequently in recent months. Today I will do some catching up by reviewing the long term scenarios and indications we have been covering. Long term readers will remember my Dow 32000 series, which I started sharing in 2013: The case for Dow 32000. Many people declared me crazy,… Continue reading Updated long term scenarios and charts.
Why the VIX is so low and why you shouldn’t worry about it yet
Markets have worked themselves to new record highs and almost everybody is talking about the VIX index staying below 10 for so long with no signs of wanting to go up anytime soon. This move to new records has come right on time per our LT wave for July, but more on that in my… Continue reading Why the VIX is so low and why you shouldn’t worry about it yet
Forget the VIX, watch the SKEW
In the recent weeks I have been recommending to stand aside and stay cautious until the stock market offers a bit more clarity. And it is not as if we have missed much by doing so. Friday’s drop tells us that some caution is warranted at this point. Is it just a one day dip,… Continue reading Forget the VIX, watch the SKEW
Is investors’ money where their mouth is?
It is well known that moods, fear and greed drive the markets. So a number of “sentiment” indicators have been developed over the years, in an attempt to measure the mood of the market. There are indices like the VIX, which try to measure fear or greed on the basis of option premiums. Other sentiment… Continue reading Is investors’ money where their mouth is?